Estimates of the Maximum Land-Fast Ice Thickness Probable Once in 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 Years

N. E. Ivanov, B. V. Ivanov, and O. M. Andreev

Presented are the empirical, nonparametric (quantile), parametric, and randomized estimates of the maximum land-fast ice thickness in the Northern Caspian probable once in 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 years. The annual maxima of the land-fast ice thickness for the 72-year period from 1937 to 2008 are computed using the one-dimensional thermodynamic model of the sea ice developed at Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute.