On the Problem of Subtropical Anticyclone Regeneration as a Factor of Its Stabilization (Case Study for the Summer of 2010)

E. K. Semenov, N. N. Sokolikhina, and K. O. Tudrii

The detailed investigation of conditions of the durational stabilization of subtropical anticyclone in the unusual region of the temperate zone is carried out and the reasons for its multiple regeneration are revealed. Separated are five periods of the subtropical anticyclone regeneration associated with the entering of active and relatively anticyclones of middle and high latitudes developed at the rear of cyclonic series into its circulation. All invasions were divided into three types depending on the trajectories of the movement of active anticyclones: the polar invasion from the north and northwest, the ultrapolar invasion from the east and northeast, and the western invasion from the Atlantic Ocean and Baltic Sea. The instability index introduced by V.P. Dymnikov was used for the quantitative estimation of the blocking process lifetime. It is demonstrated that this index is informative enough and could be used for the lifetime forecast of concrete quasistationary regimes of atmospheric circulation.