Forecast of Convective Storms Evolution Based on the Analysis of Their Radar Echo and Wind Hodograph in the Troposphere in the Moving Coordinate System

S. D. Plyusnin, E. I. Potapov, I. A. Garaba, and V. P. Popova

Generalized are the results of the research carried out by the Special Service for Weather Modification of the Republic of Moldova and of the features of formation and evolution of cumulonimbus clouds Cb based on studying their radar echo in the Lagrange (moving) coordinate system. Besides the regularities proceeding from the ideas about the evolution of Cb on the sides of atmospheric mesoscale structures [16], the features of evolution of powerful Cb are revealed at the significant wind shear. The direction and evolution features of Cb can be predicted using the wind hodograph in the troposphere plotted in the moving coordinate system. Results of the research are used in the Special Service for Weather Modification of the Republic of Moldova during the operational activities on hail suppression for predicting the areas of formation of new convective cells and for optimizing the size of the areas for their seeding with the crystallizing reagent.