Large-scale Indicators of Extreme Precipitationin Coastal Natural-economic Zonesof the European Part of Russia

T. A. Matveeva, D. Yu. Gushchina, and O. G. Zolina

Identified are the indicators of extreme precipitation for the coastal regions of the European sector of the Arctic and the Caucasus Black Sea coast (the specific pattern of pressure field and the frontal zone presence in the area of intensive precipitation). Tested is the simulation of the revealed indicators of extreme precipitation by the GFDL-ESM2M model. Assessed are the variations of occurrence frequency of these indicators under conditions of climate warming. It is demonstrated that in the 21st century the occurrence frequency of conditions accompanying extreme precipitation events of frontal origin will increase on the southern coast of the European part of Russia in summer and on the Arctic coast during the cold season.