Assessing the Probability of El Nino-related Weather and Climate Anomalies in Russian Regions

I. I. Mokhov, and A. V. Timazhev

The risk and predictability of weather and climate anomalies in Russian regions associated with different types of El Nino are estimated using long-term data (1891–2015) on surface air temperature, precipitation, and indices of drought and excessive moisture. The probability of anomalies of these parameters in spring and summer months is estimated for different phase transitions of El Nino events.